How it works

Every alert Solagin published publicly is replayed here on one rule: a 3.50% stop and a trailing rule armed at 5.00% and trailing at 2.00%. A trade closes at its stop or its trailing stop. Where an alert printed different exit numbers, or none at all, that same rule is used instead, and the alert is marked.

A result comes from the published entry, or 8-slice TWAP over 25 minutes when the entry is spread over time, and is left in as a win or a loss. These are Solagin's calls, not trades this site placed.

The headline win rate is the ladder's. Trades is every finished trade plus every missed one; wins is finished wins plus those missed ones. Average return, profit factor and return on capital use finished trades only.

Some calls have no result: still open, no usable entry price, no bars at or before publication, a printed price far from the market, or an index call naming only a direction. Each says no result with its reason.

123 of 8238 alerts in this release sit outside the win rate — a quote nobody could have transacted at, an alert Solagin withdrew, or a rule that does not denote a loss — and are counted in no win rate at all.

Solagin cross-posts some alerts to more than one desk. Each posting counts once for the desk it was posted to, so the 8323 alerts published add up to 5421 independent calls once the cross-posts are folded together.

The 5-bid ladder

One 1,000-unit budget per alert, five bids weighted 1:1:2:2:4, placed at the printed entry and stepped away from it, so a partly filled call is priced as it filled, cash-weighted over the bids that filled. Its stop, its arming level and its trail are measured from that average fill price, not from the printed entry, because that is the price the ladder was scored at: the same 3.50% stop, 5.00% arming level and 2.00% trail as every other call. The spacing comes from the volatility of the bars pinned before publication; a printed price implausibly far from the market is left without a result rather than guessed at. If no bid is reached and price runs away in the called direction first, the unfilled bids are cancelled and the call counts as a win: no capital went in.

Bid spacing on an Indonesian stock follows the exchange's own tick table; everywhere else, one step is the price's usual hourly move over the 20 hours before the alert, and an instrument with too little history uses a shared average step instead.

If the market opens past a bid, that bid fills at the opening price rather than the price it was set at. A trade still open when the price file simply ends stays open; a trade still open after 90 days of holding is closed with no result instead, since that is as long as this site holds a call open looking for its stop or its target.

Bad price data — a feed that goes flat, or a jump no market printed — is refused the same way on both the ladder and the single published order, so neither column shows a result built on a broken feed.

Indonesian stock exchange bars can be thin right at the market open, when the first few hourly bars carry little trading — that is a real feature of the exchange, not a data gap this site failed to fill.

679 of 6164 ladder trades (11.0%) are scored on this site's own default rule rather than a rule Solagin published.

Solagin's alert wording changed on 9 Sep 2026 and began printing a tiered stop and a different trail. That printed rule is not the rule these results use — a rule printed after an alert was posted cannot have produced its result — so an alert posted from that date on uses the rule this release's contract states: a 2.00% trailing stop armed at 5.00%. This applies to every desk that posted after that date, not just crypto — US Stock and Commodity alerts carry the same later wording and are scored the same way.

Full curation and the default rule

When an alert never stated an exit rule there was nothing to replay it against, so those alerts are scored on one rule of this site's own: exit-policy-era-default-1, a 3.5% stop, armed at 5.0% and trailing at 2.0%. That rule is supplied by us: it is not Solagin's. Where a desk's figure rests on both populations it is a blended figure of the two, and the two are not the same claim.

Questions

What is a missed trade?

A call where price moved in the named direction before any bid filled, so the unfilled bids were cancelled with no capital committed. It counts as a win and adds nothing to the return figures.

Do you count open trades as losses?

No. A trade still running at the end of the released data has no result yet and is counted in no win rate, in either direction.

How do you know the entry price was reachable?

The published price is checked against the price bars pinned to the release. Without bars before publication, or with a printed price far from the market, the call is left without a result rather than guessed at.

What happens when an alert is deleted or corrected?

A withdrawn alert is removed from every count and listed on the Audit page. A corrected result becomes the new headline figure, and the value it replaced stays visible on that same page.

Are these your trades?

No. These are Solagin's published alerts, replayed on the one rule described above rather than on any rule printed with the alert. No capital of this site's is placed on any of them.

What do the costs cover?

Fees, slippage and funding, as each desk's own contract states below. Every desk trades its own instrument on its own venue, so its costs are its own rather than one figure applied to every desk alike.

Each desk's own costs

A desk can have trades on more than one cost basis, so a desk may appear on more than one row.