US Stock Signal
ladder method- Win rate
- 50.2% 537 wins of 1070 trades
- EV per trade
- -5.07 per 1,000 committed
- Average return
- +0.31% per finished trade
- Profit factor
- 0.70 gains over losses
- Return on capital
- -0.78% finished trades only
43 of these trades never filled a bid. A call where price ran in the named direction before any bid filled still counts as a win, but with no capital committed it is left out of the average return, the profit factor and the return on capital.
163 of this desk's released trades were scored on
our default rule alone (exit-policy-era-default-1), because the alert
never stated an exit rule. That rule is
supplied by us. Those trades' own win rate is
36.8% over their own sample; the figure above is
a blend of that
population and the alerts that did state a rule, and the two are not the same claim.
Deterministic Replay using a pinned input artifact and a versioned per-topic contingency contract.
1352 alerts published by this desk (1325 released, 1094 of them scored trades, 1 duplicate reposts). A figure is drawn from the released trades only.
Signals
Filter these →Coverage: 80.92% of this desk's 1352 published alerts are released as scored trades (98.15% of its scoreable alerts). The rest are not scored, and are not counted as losses.